Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043180 0.049298 0.056023 0.063974 0.073127 0.083348 0.095644
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.033952 0.042319 0.052402 0.065485 0.082071 0.102474 0.129595
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.028114 0.037168 0.048774 0.064819 0.086548 0.115129 0.155861
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025107 0.034831 0.047943 0.067042 0.094368 0.132381 0.189829
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.021450 0.030974 0.044372 0.064764 0.095323 0.139900 0.210732
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.018896 0.028277 0.041978 0.063669 0.097557 0.149155 0.234963
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016458 0.025419 0.038952 0.061141 0.097125 0.154071 0.252752
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015543 0.024755 0.039129 0.063521 0.104557 0.172017 0.293792
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014730 0.024141 0.039282 0.065814 0.112016 0.190748 0.338483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014001 0.023573 0.039418 0.068041 0.119539 0.210349 0.387161
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012892 0.022240 0.038121 0.067612 0.122276 0.221729 0.422059
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011997 0.021182 0.037179 0.067682 0.125867 0.234969 0.462088
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011096 0.020047 0.036028 0.067317 0.128736 0.247445 0.502895
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010580 0.019567 0.036019 0.069108 0.135992 0.269335 0.566230
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009791 0.018496 0.034797 0.068397 0.138154 0.281232 0.609946
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009451 0.018247 0.035107 0.070750 0.146827 0.307539 0.689030
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008604 0.016922 0.033192 0.068339 0.145167 0.311647 0.718166
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007975 0.015978 0.031942 0.067180 0.146053 0.321357 0.761709
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007256 0.014784 0.030075 0.064505 0.143265 0.322470 0.784570
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007091 0.014726 0.030560 0.067024 0.152546 0.352431 0.883626
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006923 0.014645 0.030986 0.069451 0.161886 0.383674 0.990760
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006755 0.014549 0.031366 0.071808 0.171330 0.416340 1.106754
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.006375 0.013951 0.030584 0.071354 0.173831 0.431988 1.178673